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What this means. A wallet put $181.6k on Spain, at a price that gave it a 59% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 71 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$181.6k
BUY Spain @ 59¢ · 306,508 shares
Size ≥ $100kProven wallet8.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took Spain (buy) for $181.6k at an average 59¢. At that price the market implied a 59% chance for that side. The market resolved Spain, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $181.6k+2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 59¢ means
59%chance the market gave
−145American odds
$1.00paid per share if Spain wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 59¢
- Implied odds
- 59.2%
- As American odds
- −145 no vig
- Size
- $181.6k
- Placed
- Jul 19, 09:38 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Spain
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0x5cd1eb4d…
This wallet's graded record
41/71+10.0 pts
expected 33.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +41 ptsSpain price · entry 59¢ · resolved Spain
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $33.7k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $29.8k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $39.4k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | MED SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $72.4k | excluded |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Spain @ 99.8¢ | $13.4k | excluded |