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What this means. A wallet put $140.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?missed
$140.4k
BUY Yes @ 42¢ · 334,394 shares in 11 fills
Size ≥ $100k11 fills in 1hSports

What happened

Wallet jdsahgf took Yes (buy) for $140.4k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $140.4k+2
11 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
42¢
Implied odds
42.0%
As American odds
+138 no vig
Size
$140.4k
Placed
Apr 29, 07:55 EDT
Market close
Apr 29, 15:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
jdsahgf
Tx
0x5c95779b…
This wallet's graded record
0/10-38.4 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -42 pts
Yes price · entry 42¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 42¢ · $140.4k WHALE $140.4K @ 42¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $22.5k0% matanovik177d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $18.0k0% sss.tier177d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $16.0k0% igetlitty177d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $22.0k0% mooseborzoi LOSING177d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.3k0% 0xa5eb…93bf177d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $14.3k0% Overdose190177d agoexcluded