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What this means. A wallet put $140.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 42% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$140.4k
BUY Yes @ 42¢ · 334,394 shares in 11 fills
Size ≥ $100k11 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet jdsahgf took Yes (buy) for $140.4k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 42% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $140.4k+2
11 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 42¢ means
42%chance the market gave
+138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 42¢
- Implied odds
- 42.0%
- As American odds
- +138 no vig
- Size
- $140.4k
- Placed
- Apr 29, 07:55 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- jdsahgf
- Tx
- 0x5c95779b…
This wallet's graded record
0/10-38.4 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -42 ptsYes price · entry 42¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.3k | excluded |