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What this means. A wallet put $12.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.5k
BUY No @ 95¢ · 13,184 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteProven walletOther
What happened
Wallet ScottyNooo took No (buy) for $12.5k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.5k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95¢
- Implied odds
- 95.0%
- Size
- $12.5k
- Placed
- Apr 14, 00:03 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ScottyNooo
- Tx
- 0x55d9ffc0…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsNo price · entry 95¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.1¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $19.0k | excluded |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $29.3k | excluded |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $21.6k | excluded |