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Colts vs. Chiefsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $105.2k on Chiefs, at a price that gave it a 76% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-6.7 pts over 23 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Colts vs. Chiefsexcluded$105.2k
BUY Chiefs @ 76¢ · 138,222 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)4.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took Chiefs (buy) for $105.2k at an average 76¢. At that price the market implied a 76% chance for that side. The market resolved Chiefs. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $105.2k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 76¢ means
76%chance the market gave
−319American odds
$1.00paid per share if Chiefs wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 76¢
- Implied odds
- 76.1%
- As American odds
- −319 no vig
- Size
- $105.2k
- Placed
- Sep 20, 22:25 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 20, 20:20 EDT
- Result
- Chiefs
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ferrariChampions2026
- Tx
- 0x4c0186df…
This wallet's graded record
12/23-6.7 pts
expected 13.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +24 ptsChiefs price · entry 76¢ · resolved Chiefs
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colts vs. Chiefs | LOW SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $44.2k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | LOW SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 97.9¢ | $29.0k | excluded |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | MED BUY Chiefs @ 76¢ | $201.9k 4.9× usual |
excluded |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | MED BUY Colts @ 29¢ | $87.3k | excluded |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 69¢ | $20.6k | excluded |