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What this means. A wallet put $45.0k on not Missouri Tigers, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It won. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$45.0k
SELL Missouri Tigers @ 45¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10k3.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Nooserac took Missouri Tigers (sell) for $45.0k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved Miami Hurricanes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $45.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 55.0%
- As American odds
- −122 no vig
- Size
- $45.0k
- Placed
- Mar 19, 00:28 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 20, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- Miami Hurricanes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Nooserac
- Tx
- 0x3ef5d4e5…
This wallet's graded record
4/6-3.6 pts
expected 4.2 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade +45 ptsMissouri Tigers price · entry 45¢ · resolved Miami Hurricanes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED BUY Miami Hurricanes @ 69¢ | $67.1k 2.8× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Missouri Tigers @ 54¢ | $11.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Miami Hurricanes @ 68¢ | $10.1k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Missouri Tigers @ 44¢ | $42.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Miami Hurricanes @ 55¢ | $33.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Miami Hurricanes @ 54¢ | $13.3k | excluded |