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What this means. A wallet put $25.7k on Lakers, at a price that gave it a 44% chance. It lost. This wallet has a losing record: -16.0 pts vs the price over 55 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Lakers vs. Rocketsmissed
$25.7k
BUY Lakers @ 44¢ · 58,481 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet mooseborzoi took Lakers (buy) for $25.7k at an average 44¢. At that price the market implied a 44% chance for that side. The market resolved Rockets, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $25.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 44¢ means
44%chance the market gave
+127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Lakers wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
44¢
Implied odds
44.0%
As American odds
+127 no vig
Size
$25.7k
Placed
Apr 26, 15:32 EDT
Market close
Apr 26, 21:30 EDT
Result
Rockets
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
mooseborzoi
Tx
0x33ce3bfa…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-16.0 pts
expected 36.8 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -44 pts
Lakers price · entry 44¢ · resolved Rockets
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 44¢ · $25.7k WHALE $25.7K @ 44¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Lakers vs. RocketsLOW SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢ $11.1k0% VEQT179d agoexcluded
Lakers vs. RocketsLOW SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢ $39.3k
2.1× usual
0% 0x418d…88a3179d agoexcluded
Lakers vs. RocketsLOW SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢ $10.5k0% 0Ebe179d agoexcluded
Lakers vs. RocketsLOW SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢ $16.5k0% lasiweijiasi179d agoexcluded
Lakers vs. RocketsLOW SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢ $73.9k
2.7× usual
0% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN179d agoexcluded
Lakers vs. RocketsLOW SELL Rockets @ 99.9¢ $14.8k0% kahe179d agoexcluded