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What this means. A wallet put $48.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+0.4 pts over 52 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$48.8k
BUY Yes @ 65¢ · 75,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet AV23IUa took Yes (buy) for $48.8k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $48.8k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 65¢ means
65%chance the market gave
−186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 65¢
- Implied odds
- 65.0%
- As American odds
- −186 no vig
- Size
- $48.8k
- Placed
- Aug 28, 18:54 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 29, 07:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- AV23IUa
- Tx
- 0x2fda9257…
This wallet's graded record
29/52+0.4 pts
expected 28.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -65 ptsYes price · entry 65¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $41.6k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? | LOW BUY No @ 73¢ | $24.7k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? | LOW BUY Yes @ 35¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? | LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $23.1k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? | LOW BUY No @ 34¢ | $11.3k | excluded |