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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +65.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+65.0 pts
Called / graded
2/2
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$107.3k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$3,170
Last 30 days −$29.7k · $1.77M volume · 614 trades · since Aug 21, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$3,170
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
39%
38 closed
Wallet age · markets
64d
37 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 2 | 0.7 | +65.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Grizzlies vs. Warriors | LOW BUY Grizzlies @ 38¢ | $15.2k | called |
 49ers vs. Seahawks | LOW BUY 49ers @ 48¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| Broncos vs. 49ers | LOW BUY 49ers @ 62¢ | $17.4k | excluded |
| Jaguars vs. Bengals | LOW BUY Bengals @ 52¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Cardinals vs. Giants | LOW BUY Cardinals @ 78¢ | $18.3k | excluded |
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? | LOW BUY No @ 34¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? | LOW BUY No @ 32¢ | $11.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb8bafc…