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What this means. A wallet put $32.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.4 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?excluded
$32.1k
BUY Yes @ 51¢ · 62,851 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports

What happened

Wallet RegardedMoney took Yes (buy) for $32.1k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $32.1k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
51¢
Implied odds
51.0%
As American odds
−104 no vig
Size
$32.1k
Placed
Aug 23, 14:13 EDT
Market close
Aug 23, 14:45 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
RegardedMoney
Tx
0x2cb6eece…
This wallet's graded record
13/20+11.4 pts
expected 10.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +49 pts
Yes price · entry 51¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 51¢ · $32.1k WHALE $32.1K @ 51¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $462.1k0% 0x2ba6…644c62d agoexcluded
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $62.4k100% 0x2cc8…262b62d agoexcluded
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?MED SELL Yes @ 96¢ $32.4k4% 0x5f65…203662d agoexcluded
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?LOW SELL Yes @ 96¢ $10.2k4% kaokc422c62d agoexcluded
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?LOW BUY Yes @ 83¢ $13.8k83% swisstony PROVEN62d agoexcluded
Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?LOW BUY Yes @ 44¢ $15.2k44% kimi198662d agoexcluded