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What this means. A wallet put $28.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 61% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-4.3 pts over 59 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$28.6k
BUY Yes @ 61¢ · 46,875 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet elkmonkey took Yes (buy) for $28.6k at an average 61¢. At that price the market implied a 61% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $28.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 61¢ means
61%chance the market gave
−156American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 61¢
- Implied odds
- 61.0%
- As American odds
- −156 no vig
- Size
- $28.6k
- Placed
- Feb 26, 11:03 EST
- Market close
- Feb 26, 15:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- elkmonkey
- Tx
- 0x236d0d6f…
This wallet's graded record
33/59-4.3 pts
expected 35.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -61 ptsYes price · entry 61¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $86.7k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $57.1k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26? | LOW SELL No @ 89¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26? | LOW BUY No @ 36¢ | $21.2k | excluded |