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What this means. A wallet put $22.0k on Bucks, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-4.4 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Bulls vs. Bucksmissed
$22.0k
BUY Bucks @ 53¢ · 41,509 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took Bucks (buy) for $22.0k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Bulls, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $22.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bucks wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
53¢
Implied odds
53.0%
As American odds
−113 no vig
Size
$22.0k
Placed
Oct 23, 11:52 EDT
Market close
Oct 23, 16:00 EDT
Result
Bulls
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
ferrariChampions2026
Tx
0x23516108…
This wallet's graded record
12/22-4.4 pts
expected 13.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -53 pts
Bucks price · entry 53¢ · resolved Bulls
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 53¢ · $22.0k WHALE $22.0K @ 53¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Bulls vs. BucksLOW SELL Bulls @ 99.9¢ $19.7k0% robustmst10h agoexcluded
Bulls vs. BucksLOW BUY Bucks @ 48¢ $10.8k48% mooseborzoii10h agoexcluded
Bulls vs. BucksHIGH BUY Bucks @ 52¢ $341.6k
2.4× usual
52% dhgreg NEW10h agoexcluded
Bulls vs. BucksLOW BUY Bulls @ 51¢ $13.0k51% robustmst10h agoexcluded
Bulls vs. BucksLOW BUY Bulls @ 75¢ $16.4k75% Nooserac10h agoexcluded
Bulls vs. BucksLOW BUY Bucks @ 57¢ $14.0k57% 0x2c33…056311h agoexcluded