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Bulls vs. Bucksmissed
What this means. A wallet put $22.0k on Bucks, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-4.4 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.0k
BUY Bucks @ 53¢ · 41,509 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took Bucks (buy) for $22.0k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Bulls, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bucks wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $22.0k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 11:52 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Bulls
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ferrariChampions2026
- Tx
- 0x23516108…
This wallet's graded record
12/22-4.4 pts
expected 13.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -53 ptsBucks price · entry 53¢ · resolved Bulls
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Bulls @ 99.9¢ | $19.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Bucks @ 48¢ | $10.8k | excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Bucks @ 52¢ | $341.6k 2.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Bulls @ 51¢ | $13.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Bulls @ 75¢ | $16.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Bucks @ 57¢ | $14.0k | excluded |