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Nuggets vs. Spursexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $25.2k on Nuggets, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-6.8 pts over 26 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$25.2k
BUY Nuggets @ 40¢ · 62,880 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took Nuggets (buy) for $25.2k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Nuggets. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $25.2k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Nuggets wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 40.0%
- As American odds
- +150 no vig
- Size
- $25.2k
- Placed
- Apr 12, 22:03 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 12, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Nuggets
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ferrariChampions2026
- Tx
- 0x1fedd79d…
This wallet's graded record
14/26-6.8 pts
expected 15.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +60 ptsNuggets price · entry 40¢ · resolved Nuggets
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $11.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $58.4k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $14.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Nuggets @ 97.4¢ | $15.4k | excluded |