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What this means. A wallet put $25.2k on Nuggets, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-6.8 pts over 26 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Nuggets vs. Spursexcluded
$25.2k
BUY Nuggets @ 40¢ · 62,880 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took Nuggets (buy) for $25.2k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Nuggets. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $25.2k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Nuggets wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
40¢
Implied odds
40.0%
As American odds
+150 no vig
Size
$25.2k
Placed
Apr 12, 22:03 EDT
Market close
Apr 12, 20:30 EDT
Result
Nuggets
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ferrariChampions2026
Tx
0x1fedd79d…
This wallet's graded record
14/26-6.8 pts
expected 15.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +60 pts
Nuggets price · entry 40¢ · resolved Nuggets
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 40¢ · $25.2k WHALE $25.2K @ 40¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Nuggets vs. SpursLOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ $11.5k0% kahe194d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. SpursLOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ $10.3k0% X2024194d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. SpursLOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ $58.4k0% 0x8a6c…0b3f194d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. SpursLOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ $14.1k0% 0x0a84…ffbb194d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. SpursLOW SELL Nuggets @ 99.9¢ $59.9k
2.1× usual
0% Mr.Ape194d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. SpursLOW BUY Nuggets @ 97.4¢ $15.4k97% Countrysid194d agoexcluded