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What this means. A wallet put $11.1k on Under, at a price that gave it a 70% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.1k
BUY Under @ 70¢ · 15,780 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took Under (buy) for $11.1k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 70% chance for that side. The market resolved Under, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.1k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 70¢ means
70%chance the market gave
−239American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 70¢
- Implied odds
- 70.5%
- As American odds
- −239 no vig
- Size
- $11.1k
- Placed
- Jul 14, 00:54 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Under
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x1d2bc0d2…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +30 ptsUnder price · entry 70¢ · resolved Under
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 99.8¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 87¢ | $35.6k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 69¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 | HIGH BUY Over @ 30¢ | $183.6k 4.9× usual |
excluded |
| France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 70¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 71¢ | $21.3k | called |