← Live flags
Colts vs. Commanderscalled
What this means. A wallet put $19.7k on Colts, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. It won. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Colts vs. Commanderscalled$19.7k
BUY Colts @ 65¢ · 30,365 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet Elaran1993 took Colts (buy) for $19.7k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. The market resolved Colts, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 65¢ means
65%chance the market gave
−186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Colts wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 65¢
- Implied odds
- 65.0%
- As American odds
- −186 no vig
- Size
- $19.7k
- Placed
- Oct 02, 12:45 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 04, 09:30 EDT
- Result
- Colts
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Elaran1993
- Tx
- 0x1a4aa772…
This wallet's graded record
6/8+18.7 pts
expected 4.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +35 ptsColts price · entry 65¢ · resolved Colts
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colts vs. Commanders | LOW SELL Colts @ 99.9¢ | $74.9k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| Colts vs. Commanders | LOW SELL Colts @ 99.9¢ | $57.7k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Colts vs. Commanders | LOW BUY Colts @ 87¢ | $66.6k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Colts vs. Commanders | LOW BUY Colts @ 78¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| Colts vs. Commanders | HIGH BUY Commanders @ 15¢ | $47.2k | excluded |
| Colts vs. Commanders | LOW BUY Colts @ 87¢ | $10.0k | excluded |