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Falcons vs. Saintsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $40.0k on Saints, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$40.0k
BUY Saints @ 53¢ · 75,472 shares
Size ≥ $10k2.4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Mastermoney took Saints (buy) for $40.0k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Falcons, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $40.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Saints wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $40.0k
- Placed
- Oct 05, 16:58 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 05, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Falcons
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Mastermoney
- Tx
- 0x0da3a6e4…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-3.7 pts
expected 2.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -53 ptsSaints price · entry 53¢ · resolved Falcons
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $49.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Falcons @ 99.9¢ | $27.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Falcons @ 99.8¢ | $37.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Falcons @ 97.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Falcons @ 97.9¢ | $22.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Falcons @ 90¢ | $44.1k | excluded |