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What this means. A wallet put $55.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$55.0k
SELL No @ 96.5¢ · 57,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)3.4× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet 0xcf19…6402 took No (sell) for $55.0k at an average 96.5¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $55.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 96.5¢
- Implied odds
- 3.5%
- Size
- $55.0k
- Placed
- Apr 25, 15:14 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xcf19…6402
- Tx
- 0x0cb33700…
This wallet's graded record
4/7+15.4 pts
expected 2.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -3 ptsNo price · entry 96.5¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $21.7k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $65.8k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $21.0k | excluded |