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What this means. A wallet put $22.6k on Katerina Siniakova, at a price that gave it a 44% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-8.9 pts over 27 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.6k
BUY Katerina Siniakova @ 44¢ · 51,075 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took Katerina Siniakova (buy) for $22.6k at an average 44¢. At that price the market implied a 44% chance for that side. The market resolved Marie Bouzkova. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.6k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 44¢ means
44%chance the market gave
+126American odds
$1.00paid per share if Katerina Siniakova wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 44¢
- Implied odds
- 44.3%
- As American odds
- +126 no vig
- Size
- $22.6k
- Placed
- May 18, 13:20 EDT
- Market close
- May 18, 11:40 EDT
- Result
- Marie Bouzkova
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ferrariChampions2026
- Tx
- 0xfffec6a2…
This wallet's graded record
14/27-8.9 pts
expected 16.4 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade -44 ptsKaterina Siniakova price · entry 44¢ · resolved Marie Bouzkova
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Marie Bouzkova @ 99.9¢ | $11.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Marie Bouzkova @ 90¢ | $18.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Marie Bouzkova @ 88¢ | $10.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Katerina Siniakova @ 53¢ | $14.8k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Katerina Siniakova @ 58¢ | $70.3k | excluded |