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What this means. A wallet put $17.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.5k
SELL No @ 70¢ · 24,882 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet yumaoqiu-579 took No (sell) for $17.5k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 30% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 70¢
- Implied odds
- 29.5%
- Size
- $17.5k
- Placed
- Mar 03, 22:28 EST
- Market close
- May 15, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- yumaoqiu-579
- Tx
- 0xfc49d7c4…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-29.5 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $14.2k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 87¢ | $14.7k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $11.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 34¢ | $29.6k | called | |
| LOW BUY No @ 65¢ | $56.5k | called | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 34¢ | $34.2k | called |