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What this means. A wallet put $17.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 30% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?missed
$17.5k
SELL No @ 70¢ · 24,882 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet yumaoqiu-579 took No (sell) for $17.5k at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 30% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $17.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
70¢
Implied odds
29.5%
Size
$17.5k
Placed
Mar 03, 22:28 EST
Market close
May 15, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
yumaoqiu-579
Tx
0xfc49d7c4…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-29.5 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $14.2k100% wigglew160d agoexcluded
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?LOW SELL No @ 87¢ $14.7k13% tsihkodiives161d agoexcluded
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?MED BUY Yes @ 48¢ $11.9k48% sotta NEW161d agoexcluded
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 34¢ $29.6k66% UnderperformingForALivin175d agocalled
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?LOW BUY No @ 65¢ $56.5k65% DonaldinhoTrumpito175d agocalled
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?LOW SELL Yes @ 34¢ $34.2k66% UnderperformingForALivin176d agocalled