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What this means. A wallet put $34.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?excluded
$34.1k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 34,163 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Proven walletOther

What happened

Wallet ScottyNooo took No (buy) for $34.1k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $34.1k+1
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$34.1k
Placed
Aug 30, 17:09 EDT
Market close
Aug 30, 17:40 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ScottyNooo
Tx
0xfa7b9e4b…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
No price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $34.1k WHALE $34.1K @ 99.9¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢ $16.6k75% MisTKy PROVEN59d agomissed
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ $29.1k58% mr.ozi66d agomissed