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What this means. A wallet put $38.3k on not Arthur Fils, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+0.4 pts over 52 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$38.3k
SELL Arthur Fils @ 42¢ · 92,069 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet AV23IUa took Arthur Fils (sell) for $38.3k at an average 42¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Rafael Jodar, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $38.3k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 42¢
- Implied odds
- 58.4%
- As American odds
- −140 no vig
- Size
- $38.3k
- Placed
- Aug 10, 22:14 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 11, 14:20 EDT
- Result
- Rafael Jodar
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- AV23IUa
- Tx
- 0xf5a0d730…
This wallet's graded record
29/52+0.4 pts
expected 28.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +42 ptsArthur Fils price · entry 42¢ · resolved Rafael Jodar · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils | LOW SELL Rafael Jodar @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils | LOW SELL Rafael Jodar @ 99.9¢ | $181.2k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils | MED SELL Rafael Jodar @ 99.9¢ | $266.1k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils | LOW SELL Rafael Jodar @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils | LOW BUY Arthur Fils @ 23¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils | LOW BUY Rafael Jodar @ 59¢ | $19.7k | excluded |