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What this means. A wallet put $1.14M on Yes, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$1.14M
BUY Yes @ 51¢ · 2,233,254 shares in 6 fills
Size ≥ $250k6 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet DEEDDIT took Yes (buy) for $1.14M at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $1.14M+3
6 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−103American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 50.9%
- As American odds
- −103 no vig
- Size
- $1.14M
- Placed
- Jul 11, 14:44 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- DEEDDIT
- Tx
- 0xf364c31e…
This wallet's graded record
7/8+36.1 pts
expected 4.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsYes price · entry 51¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $107.8k 4.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | MED SELL No @ 78¢ | $43.9k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Will England win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 95¢ | $17.4k | excluded |