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Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $19.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -17.7 pts vs the price over 33 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.8k
SELL No @ 99.2¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet SwissMiss took No (sell) for $19.8k at an average 99.2¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.2¢
- Implied odds
- 0.8%
- Size
- $19.8k
- Placed
- Dec 19, 19:39 EST
- Market close
- Dec 31, 18:55 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- SwissMiss
- Tx
- 0xf045e466…
This wallet's graded record
22/33-17.7 pts
expected 27.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $64.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $118.0k | excluded |