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What this means. A wallet put $19.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -17.7 pts vs the price over 33 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded
$19.8k
SELL No @ 99.2¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet SwissMiss took No (sell) for $19.8k at an average 99.2¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.2¢
Implied odds
0.8%
Size
$19.8k
Placed
Dec 19, 19:39 EST
Market close
Dec 31, 18:55 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
SwissMiss
Tx
0xf045e466…
This wallet's graded record
22/33-17.7 pts
expected 27.8 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $11.6k100% rwo296d agoexcluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.8k0% onekey09296d agoexcluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $59.9k0% 0x7441…5ed5296d agoexcluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k100% jwp9999296d agoexcluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $64.9k0% 0xf120…9321296d agoexcluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $118.0k0% 0x5e91…1717296d agoexcluded