← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $49.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$49.9k
BUY Yes @ 98.8¢ · 50,445 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Crypto
What happened
Wallet AgricultureSecretary took Yes (buy) for $49.9k at an average 98.8¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $49.9k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−8595American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.8¢
- Implied odds
- 98.8%
- Size
- $49.9k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 12:01 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- AgricultureSecretary
- Tx
- 0xefdc1509…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+34.3 pts
expected 0.7 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry -98.8 ptsYes price · entry 98.8¢ · now 0¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $114.7k | pending |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $32.6k | pending |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.7k | pending |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $75.5k 2.5× usual |
pending |