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What this means. A wallet put $119.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$119.0k
BUY No @ 60¢ · 200,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet hot2trot took No (buy) for $119.0k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $119.0k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−147American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 59.5%
- As American odds
- −147 no vig
- Size
- $119.0k
- Placed
- Jul 14, 09:18 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- hot2trot
- Tx
- 0xefaecea7…
This wallet's graded record
3/9-11.6 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +40 ptsNo price · entry 60¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $46.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $27.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $28.7k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $53.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $15.0k | excluded |