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What this means. A wallet put $124.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$124.4k
BUY Yes @ 47¢ · 267,340 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $100k5 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet MildredBK took Yes (buy) for $124.4k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $124.4k+2
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+115American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 46.5%
- As American odds
- +115 no vig
- Size
- $124.4k
- Placed
- Apr 18, 13:19 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 18, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MildredBK
- Tx
- 0xee714bd9…
This wallet's graded record
3/7-10.8 pts
expected 3.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -47 ptsYes price · entry 47¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢ | $24.7k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $25.4k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18? | LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $31.9k 2.3× usual |
called |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $28.1k | missed |