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What this means. A wallet put $22.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.4k
BUY Yes @ 41¢ · 54,555 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet predictionlegend took Yes (buy) for $22.4k at an average 41¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 41¢ means
41%chance the market gave
+144American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 41¢
- Implied odds
- 41.0%
- As American odds
- +144 no vig
- Size
- $22.4k
- Placed
- Aug 24, 12:59 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 24, 15:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- predictionlegend
- Tx
- 0xea657b06…
This wallet's graded record
0/3-47.3 pts
expected 1.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -41 ptsYes price · entry 41¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24? | LOW BUY No @ 81¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24? | LOW BUY No @ 61¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24? | LOW BUY No @ 59¢ | $13.0k | called |
| Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24? | LOW BUY No @ 59¢ | $13.0k | called |
| Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24? | LOW BUY No @ 60¢ | $20.0k | called |
| Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24? | MED BUY Yes @ 41¢ | $81.2k | missed |