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What this means. A wallet put $117.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?missed
$117.2k
BUY No @ 62¢ · 189,108 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100k2 fills in 1hSports

What happened

Wallet BBPK took No (buy) for $117.2k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $117.2k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−163American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
62¢
Implied odds
62.0%
As American odds
−163 no vig
Size
$117.2k
Placed
Apr 13, 17:26 EDT
Market close
Apr 14, 15:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
BBPK
Tx
0xe8f307af…
This wallet's graded record
2/5-14.2 pts
expected 2.7 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -62 pts
No price · entry 62¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 62¢ · $117.2k WHALE $117.2K @ 62¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.4k0% qscbn192d agoexcluded
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.9k0% gnkg192d agoexcluded
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $278.1k
4.1× usual
0% 0x8a6c…0b3f192d agoexcluded
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $33.1k100% Buy1Get1Free192d agoexcluded
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ $13.1k1% billythebillionaire192d agoexcluded
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?MED BUY Yes @ 74¢ $72.2k
2.3× usual
74% BruceWayne77192d agoexcluded