← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $14.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.3k
SELL Yes @ 53¢ · 26,739 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet tgrdy took Yes (sell) for $14.3k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 46.5%
- Size
- $14.3k
- Placed
- Jan 15, 02:06 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tgrdy
- Tx
- 0xde416373…
This wallet's graded record
2/7-18.7 pts
expected 3.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $98.4k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $28.7k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded |