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What this means. A wallet put $53.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 67% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-10.9 pts over 29 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will England win on 2026-06-23?excluded
$53.6k
BUY Yes @ 67¢ · 80,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x3dfb…abaf took Yes (buy) for $53.6k at an average 67¢. At that price the market implied a 67% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $53.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 67¢ means
67%chance the market gave
−203American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
67¢
Implied odds
67.0%
As American odds
−203 no vig
Size
$53.6k
Placed
Jun 23, 17:05 EDT
Market close
Jun 23, 16:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x3dfb…abaf
Tx
0xdb4ef1e6…
This wallet's graded record
13/29-10.9 pts
expected 16.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -67 pts
Yes price · entry 67¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 67¢ · $53.6k WHALE $53.6K @ 67¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $89.9k
3.1× usual
0% GrizzliesSuck122d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% Endgametheory122d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $20.9k1% imake1mil122d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $15.2k1% jackinv1lvl2122d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $15.4k1% tenpercenttest122d agoexcluded
Will England win on 2026-06-23?LOW BUY No @ 99¢ $48.1k99% 0x2c33…0563122d agoexcluded