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Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advanceexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advanceexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $61.6k on Egypt, at a price that gave it a 14% chance. It lost. This wallet has a losing record: -29.7 pts vs the price over 24 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$61.6k
BUY Egypt @ 14¢ · 440,120 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet sleepy-panda took Egypt (buy) for $61.6k at an average 14¢. At that price the market implied a 14% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $61.6k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 14¢ means
14%chance the market gave
+614American odds
$1.00paid per share if Egypt wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 14¢
- Implied odds
- 14.0%
- As American odds
- +614 no vig
- Size
- $61.6k
- Placed
- Jul 07, 07:48 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 07, 12:00 EDT
- Result
- Argentina
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- sleepy-panda
- Tx
- 0xcebd7793…
This wallet's graded record
3/24-29.7 pts
expected 10.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -14 ptsEgypt price · entry 14¢ · resolved Argentina
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $147.0k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | MED SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $121.5k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $104.0k 6.5× usual |
excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | MED SELL Argentina @ 34¢ | $39.4k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceexcludedSELL Argentina @ 99.9¢$147.0k
LOW dumb6money · 108d ago
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceexcludedSELL Argentina @ 99.9¢$10.9k
LOW 0x631a…b631 · 108d ago