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What this means. A wallet put $16.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 87% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.4k
BUY No @ 87¢ · 18,865 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took No (buy) for $16.4k at an average 87¢. At that price the market implied a 87% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.4k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 87¢ means
87%chance the market gave
−669American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 87¢
- Implied odds
- 87.0%
- As American odds
- −669 no vig
- Size
- $16.4k
- Placed
- Jun 22, 18:29 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 24, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0xc406c336…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +13 ptsNo price · entry 87¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $87.4k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $39.4k | excluded |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | LOW BUY No @ 95.6¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $53.4k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $12.4k | excluded |