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Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $12.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?excluded$12.6k
BUY No @ 95.6¢ · 13,195 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took No (buy) for $12.6k at an average 95.6¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.6k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2173American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.6¢
- Implied odds
- 95.6%
- As American odds
- −2173 no vig
- Size
- $12.6k
- Placed
- Jun 24, 16:08 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 24, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x7e7fbf3b…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +4 ptsNo price · entry 95.6¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $87.4k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $39.4k | excluded |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $53.4k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | MED BUY Yes @ 12¢ | $19.1k | excluded |