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What this means. A wallet put $12.4k on Rybakina, at a price that gave it a 90% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinaexcluded
$12.4k
BUY Rybakina @ 90¢ · 13,750 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet gmanas took Rybakina (buy) for $12.4k at an average 90¢. At that price the market implied a 90% chance for that side. The market resolved Rybakina. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 90¢ means
90%chance the market gave
−900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Rybakina wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
90¢
Implied odds
90.0%
As American odds
−900 no vig
Size
$12.4k
Placed
Jan 29, 06:52 EST
Market close
Jan 29, 03:30 EST
Result
Rybakina
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
gmanas
Tx
0xbd7a9dcc…
This wallet's graded record
12/17+4.8 pts
expected 11.2 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena RybakinaLOW SELL Rybakina @ 99.9¢ $89.5k
2.3× usual
0% Donghui268d agoexcluded
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena RybakinaLOW SELL Rybakina @ 99.9¢ $12.6k0% 0x99fb…acba268d agoexcluded
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena RybakinaLOW BUY Rybakina @ 97.4¢ $36.2k97% TexMexTRex268d agoexcluded
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena RybakinaLOW BUY Rybakina @ 98.8¢ $33.4k99% 0xb96d…4179268d agoexcluded
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena RybakinaLOW BUY Rybakina @ 97¢ $24.5k97% jinsanity268d agoexcluded
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena RybakinaLOW BUY Rybakina @ 95¢ $10.0k95% 0xd056…e004268d agoexcluded