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What this means. A wallet put $2.60M on Yes, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$2.60M
BUY Yes @ 47¢ · 5,504,843 shares in 26 fills
Size ≥ $250k26 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletSports
What happened
Wallet FlickRaw took Yes (buy) for $2.60M at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $2.60M+3
26 fills within 1h+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+112American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 47.2%
- As American odds
- +112 no vig
- Size
- $2.60M
- Placed
- Jun 14, 15:39 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- FlickRaw
- Tx
- 0xaffd3347…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-62.3 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -47 ptsYes price · entry 47¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $44.0k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $54.0k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $135.2k 10.6× usual |
excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $119.9k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |