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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -62.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-62.3 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$4.65M
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$4.87M
Last 30 days +$0 · $9.35M volume · 49 trades · since Jun 03, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$0
Open P&L · 2 positions
−$4.80M
Closed-position win rate
100%
1 closed
Wallet age · markets
143d
3 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -62.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 62¢ | $1.50M | missed |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $550.0k | excluded |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $2.60M | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xb01283…