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What this means. A wallet put $37.6k on No, at a price that gave it a 64% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$37.6k
BUY No @ 64¢ · 58,704 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 768543265 took No (buy) for $37.6k at an average 64¢. At that price the market implied a 64% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $37.6k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 64¢ means
64%chance the market gave
−178American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 64¢
- Implied odds
- 64.0%
- As American odds
- −178 no vig
- Size
- $37.6k
- Placed
- Apr 14, 12:08 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 14, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 768543265
- Tx
- 0xab0dcb89…
This wallet's graded record
5/7+20.7 pts
expected 3.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -64 ptsNo price · entry 64¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.9k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $278.1k 4.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $33.1k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | MED BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $72.2k 2.3× usual |
excluded |