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Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $199.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 88% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?excluded$199.2k
BUY Yes @ 88¢ · 226,625 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite5 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet7.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took Yes (buy) for $199.2k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 88% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $199.2k+2
5 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 88¢ means
88%chance the market gave
−728American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 88¢
- Implied odds
- 87.9%
- As American odds
- −728 no vig
- Size
- $199.2k
- Placed
- Jun 22, 21:42 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 22, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0xa5d30bcb…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +12 ptsYes price · entry 88¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | MED SELL Yes @ 96¢ | $86.7k 4.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $128.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $80.7k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.2k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $47.6k 2.3× usual |
excluded |