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What this means. A wallet put $22.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 12% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.9k
BUY Yes @ 12¢ · 194,841 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet BrightStars took Yes (buy) for $22.9k at an average 12¢. At that price the market implied a 12% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 12¢ means
12%chance the market gave
+749American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 12¢
- Implied odds
- 11.8%
- Size
- $22.9k
- Placed
- Aug 25, 19:52 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 30, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- BrightStars
- Tx
- 0xa1002d87…
This wallet's graded record
6/7+9.4 pts
expected 5.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $432.1k 5.5× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $45.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $137.6k | excluded |