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What this means. A wallet put $85.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 94% chance. It won. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$85.4k
BUY No @ 94.4¢ · 90,473 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite3.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet HongYunX took No (buy) for $85.4k at an average 94.4¢. At that price the market implied a 94% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $85.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 94¢ means
94%chance the market gave
−1686American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 94.4¢
- Implied odds
- 94.4%
- As American odds
- −1686 no vig
- Size
- $85.4k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 16:53 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 22:58 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- HongYunX
- Tx
- 0xa08aae07…
This wallet's graded record
4/6+7.3 pts
expected 3.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +6 ptsNo price · entry 94.4¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $150.3k 4.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $90.0k | excluded |