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What this means. A wallet put $64.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.9 pts over 25 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$64.4k
SELL No @ 92¢ · 70,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletPolitics
What happened
Wallet ndb1 took No (sell) for $64.4k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 8% chance for that side. The market hasn't resolved yet.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $64.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 8.0%
- Size
- $64.4k
- Placed
- Oct 21, 17:50 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 03, 23:59 EST
- Result
- pending
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ndb1
- Tx
- 0x9e2cf640…
This wallet's graded record
16/25+12.9 pts
expected 12.8 from price
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Price since this bet
Since entry +0.5 ptsNo price · entry 92¢ · now 91.5¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | MED SELL No @ 91¢ | $32.2k | pending |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | HIGH SELL No @ 92¢ | $34.7k | pending |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | LOW BUY No @ 92¢ | $22.6k | pending |