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What this means. A wallet put $45.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 34% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$45.5k
BUY No @ 34¢ · 133,913 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side3 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet2.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took No (buy) for $45.5k at an average 34¢. At that price the market implied a 34% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $45.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
3 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 34¢ means
34%chance the market gave
+194American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 34¢
- Implied odds
- 34.0%
- As American odds
- +194 no vig
- Size
- $45.5k
- Placed
- Jun 14, 15:37 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0x99e6b450…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +66 ptsNo price · entry 34¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $12.1k | excluded |