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What this means. A wallet put $2.14M on Yes, at a price that gave it a 61% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$2.14M
BUY Yes @ 61¢ · 3,499,178 shares in 31 fills
Size ≥ $250k31 fills in 1h3.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet tubeyou took Yes (buy) for $2.14M at an average 61¢. At that price the market implied a 61% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $2.14M+3
31 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 61¢ means
61%chance the market gave
−158American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 61¢
- Implied odds
- 61.3%
- As American odds
- −158 no vig
- Size
- $2.14M
- Placed
- May 19, 11:45 EDT
- Market close
- May 19, 14:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tubeyou
- Tx
- 0x8acf0039…
This wallet's graded record
4/7+4.8 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -61 ptsYes price · entry 61¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.5k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $46.0k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $67.4k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $25.7k | excluded |