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What this means. A wallet put $111.7k on England, at a price that gave it a 90% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: England (-1.5)excluded
$111.7k
BUY England @ 90.4¢ · 123,529 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite5 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet4.2× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet swisstony took England (buy) for $111.7k at an average 90.4¢. At that price the market implied a 90% chance for that side. The market resolved England. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

HIGH
Size $111.7k+2
5 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 90¢ means
90%chance the market gave
−942American odds
$1.00paid per share if England wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
90.4¢
Implied odds
90.4%
As American odds
−942 no vig
Size
$111.7k
Placed
Jun 27, 18:51 EDT
Market close
Jun 27, 17:00 EDT
Result
England
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
swisstony
Tx
0x87bf6a43…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +10 pts
England price · entry 90.4¢ · resolved England
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 90.4¢ · $111.7k WHALE $111.7K @ 90.4¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Spread: England (-1.5)MED SELL England @ 90¢ $31.4k10% Woaifacai118d agoexcluded
Spread: England (-1.5)LOW BUY England @ 88¢ $27.1k88% 0x2c33…0563118d agoexcluded
Spread: England (-1.5)LOW BUY Panama @ 48¢ $22.0k48% 0x2c33…0563118d agoexcluded
Spread: England (-1.5)MED BUY Panama @ 48¢ $50.2k48% swisstony PROVEN118d agoexcluded
Spread: England (-1.5)LOW BUY England @ 62¢ $16.2k62% swisstony PROVEN118d agoexcluded
Spread: England (-1.5)MED BUY England @ 68¢ $83.3k
2.1× usual
68% CandleHammerDrums118d agocalled