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What this means. A wallet put $16.2k on England, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: England (-1.5)excluded
$16.2k
BUY England @ 62¢ · 26,058 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports

What happened

Wallet swisstony took England (buy) for $16.2k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved England. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $16.2k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−163American odds
$1.00paid per share if England wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
62¢
Implied odds
62.0%
As American odds
−163 no vig
Size
$16.2k
Placed
Jun 27, 17:21 EDT
Market close
Jun 27, 17:00 EDT
Result
England
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
swisstony
Tx
0x36d1e6eb…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +38 pts
England price · entry 62¢ · resolved England
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 62¢ · $16.2k WHALE $16.2K @ 62¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Spread: England (-1.5)HIGH BUY England @ 90.4¢ $111.7k
4.2× usual
90% swisstony PROVEN118d agoexcluded
Spread: England (-1.5)MED SELL England @ 90¢ $31.4k10% Woaifacai118d agoexcluded
Spread: England (-1.5)LOW BUY England @ 88¢ $27.1k88% 0x2c33…0563118d agoexcluded
Spread: England (-1.5)LOW BUY Panama @ 48¢ $22.0k48% 0x2c33…0563118d agoexcluded
Spread: England (-1.5)MED BUY Panama @ 48¢ $50.2k48% swisstony PROVEN118d agoexcluded
Spread: England (-1.5)MED BUY England @ 68¢ $83.3k
2.1× usual
68% CandleHammerDrums119d agocalled