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Chiefs vs. Dolphinscalled
What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on Chiefs, at a price that gave it a 85% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Chiefs vs. Dolphinscalled$10.5k
BUY Chiefs @ 85¢ · 12,387 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet HomeRunHazard took Chiefs (buy) for $10.5k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 85% chance for that side. The market resolved Chiefs, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 85¢ means
85%chance the market gave
−567American odds
$1.00paid per share if Chiefs wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 85.0%
- As American odds
- −567 no vig
- Size
- $10.5k
- Placed
- Sep 25, 08:26 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 27, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Chiefs
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- HomeRunHazard
- Tx
- 0x86b2faa2…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+15.0 pts
expected 4.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +15 ptsChiefs price · entry 85¢ · resolved Chiefs
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | LOW SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | LOW SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢ | $174.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | LOW BUY Dolphins @ 16¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 83¢ | $75.3k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 88¢ | $16.3k | excluded |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins | LOW BUY Chiefs @ 89¢ | $16.4k | excluded |