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What this means. A wallet put $42.2k on Uruguay, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Spain (-1.5)excluded
$42.2k
BUY Uruguay @ 68¢ · 62,128 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports

What happened

Wallet swisstony took Uruguay (buy) for $42.2k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved Uruguay. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $42.2k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−212American odds
$1.00paid per share if Uruguay wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
68¢
Implied odds
68.0%
As American odds
−212 no vig
Size
$42.2k
Placed
Jun 26, 19:58 EDT
Market close
Jun 26, 20:00 EDT
Result
Uruguay
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
swisstony
Tx
0x79fbe3d2…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +32 pts
Uruguay price · entry 68¢ · resolved Uruguay
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 68¢ · $42.2k WHALE $42.2K @ 68¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Spread: Spain (-1.5)MED BUY Uruguay @ 64¢ $43.7k64% gmpm2119d agoexcluded
Spread: Spain (-1.5)MED BUY Uruguay @ 63¢ $37.5k63% swisstony PROVEN119d agoexcluded
Spread: Spain (-1.5)LOW BUY Uruguay @ 68¢ $25.8k68% RichieRicher119d agoexcluded
Spread: Spain (-1.5)MED BUY Uruguay @ 68¢ $100.0k68% Oneger119d agoexcluded
Spread: Spain (-1.5)LOW BUY Spain @ 31¢ $13.2k31% salahmh119d agoexcluded
Spread: Spain (-1.5)MED BUY Uruguay @ 68¢ $56.5k68% 0x2c33…0563119d agoexcluded