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What this means. A wallet put $57.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 90% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$57.4k
BUY Yes @ 90¢ · 63,800 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet2.7× this wallet's usual betPolitics
What happened
Wallet ScottyNooo took Yes (buy) for $57.4k at an average 90¢. At that price the market implied a 90% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $57.4k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 90¢ means
90%chance the market gave
−900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 90¢
- Implied odds
- 90.0%
- Size
- $57.4k
- Placed
- Jun 08, 23:07 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ScottyNooo
- Tx
- 0x7945adf0…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $146.5k 5.5× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.3k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $45.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |