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Hornets vs. Magicmissed
What this means. A wallet put $17.8k on not Magic, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Hornets vs. Magicmissed$17.8k
SELL Magic @ 40¢ · 44,559 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet Soarin22 took Magic (sell) for $17.8k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Magic, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 60.0%
- As American odds
- −150 no vig
- Size
- $17.8k
- Placed
- Apr 17, 04:05 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 17, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- Magic
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Soarin22
- Tx
- 0x6df6adcc…
This wallet's graded record
10/18+2.7 pts
expected 9.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -60 ptsMagic price · entry 40¢ · resolved Magic · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets vs. Magic | LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Hornets vs. Magic | LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $28.2k | excluded |
| Hornets vs. Magic | LOW SELL Magic @ 99.9¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Hornets vs. Magic | LOW BUY Magic @ 99.9¢ | $152.3k 6.0× usual |
excluded |
| Hornets vs. Magic | LOW BUY Magic @ 99.8¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| Hornets vs. Magic | LOW BUY Magic @ 99.8¢ | $10.0k | excluded |