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What this means. A wallet put $11.1k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?excluded
$11.1k
SELL No @ 99.7¢ · 11,176 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletEconomy

What happened

Wallet ScottyNooo took No (sell) for $11.1k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.7¢
Implied odds
0.3%
Size
$11.1k
Placed
Apr 21, 11:20 EDT
Market close
Apr 28, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
ScottyNooo
Tx
0x6be42726…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.7¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.7¢ · $11.1k WHALE $11.1K @ 99.7¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $15.0k0% QMG-CORE177d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $141.1k
4.7× usual
100% AgricultureSecretary177d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.9¢ $537.0k
11.5× usual
100% Oddinn177d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $40.0k100% Oddinn177d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ $728.7k
15.6× usual
100% Oddinn182d agoexcluded
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?MED BUY No @ 99.8¢ $1.06M
22.6× usual
100% Oddinn182d agoexcluded