← Live flags
Wizards vs. Heatcalled
What this means. A wallet put $60.0k on Heat, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-4.3 pts over 59 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Wizards vs. Heatcalled$60.0k
BUY Heat @ 95¢ · 63,158 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2.9× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet elkmonkey took Heat (buy) for $60.0k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved Heat, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $60.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Heat wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95¢
- Implied odds
- 95.0%
- As American odds
- −1900 no vig
- Size
- $60.0k
- Placed
- Apr 04, 06:52 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 04, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Heat
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- elkmonkey
- Tx
- 0x564735b7…
This wallet's graded record
33/59-4.3 pts
expected 35.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsHeat price · entry 95¢ · resolved Heat
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards vs. Heat | LOW SELL Heat @ 99.9¢ | $109.8k 4.2× usual |
excluded |
| Wizards vs. Heat | LOW SELL Heat @ 99.9¢ | $23.1k | excluded |
| Wizards vs. Heat | LOW BUY Heat @ 99.9¢ | $34.5k | excluded |
| Wizards vs. Heat | LOW BUY Heat @ 99.5¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Wizards vs. Heat | LOW BUY Heat @ 99.4¢ | $29.3k | excluded |
| Wizards vs. Heat | LOW BUY Heat @ 97¢ | $23.0k | excluded |